To drive innovations in digital commerce that reach the majority market in emerging markets, the innovation layer – just like roads, bridges, power need to be developed.
All business from large mature enterprises to small startups operating or planning to operate in Africa and other emerging markets face significant barriers – the cost of doing business is high because of poor infrastructure including roads and transportation, water and power. In addition, effective demand is weak because of low income levels. More than 95% of business in emerging markets is driven by a cash based informal sector that’s off the formal finance grid.
Two (2) profound things have happened in the last few years that have the promise to include the majority market into the formal finance sector. These are mobile penetration and mobile wallets.
Mobile penetration - South Africa has 86% phone penetration, the same as the United States and even poorer countries like Uganda have as high as 65% phone penetration and growing fast.
Mobile wallets - mobile wallets are a runaway success in many African countries. Mpesa transfers more money in Kenya than Western Union does globally (http://www.mobileworldlive.com/money/blogs-money/m-pesa-now-bigger-than-western-union-but-does-it-loom-too-large/). If MTN Mobile Money in Uganda had a bank license, they would be the largest bank in the country with over 1.5 million peer to peer transactions every day.
It is now possible for businesses to innovate and scale through electronic commerce channels, for instance in Uganda, utility payments done through wallets are more (number of transactions & volume) than utility payments done via all the banks combined while in Kenya, Commercial Bank of Africa (CBA) became the biggest lender in the country through its collaboration with Mpesa to offer loans on mobile devices through its MShwari product http://www.businessdailyafrica.com/M-Shwari-lifts-CBA-above-Equity-in-loan-accounts/-/539552/2342556/-/o6wxli/-/index.html.
Mobile is acknowledged to address economic and social challenges across the region including delivering digital inclusion, delivering financial inclusion and delivering innovative new services. However, innovation is not happening fast enough or at the scale that it ought to be. It still takes great technical and business effort to roll out even simple products because of the lack of an “innovation layer” optimized for emerging markets.
The electronic commerce stack typically looks like this
1. Access
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2. Aggregation
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3. Banks
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However, the electronic commerce stack needs to change to develop and grow electronic commerce in Africa and other emerging markets. Business as usual needs to evolve to Business unusual.
Electronic Commerce Stack
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Business as Usual
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Business Unusual
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Banks
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Banks are the foundation of the digital commerce, over many years, optimized processes to guarantee safety of their customer’s funds.
Developed markets - both the merchant and the customer hold an account in a bank.
Emerging markets - the business will have a bank account BUT the customer will not have a bank account. Where the customer has a bank account, it may not be not easily accessible (bank branch a few kilometers away).
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Banks have a huge role to play, a huge opportunity for banks with foresight.
All consumers don’t need to have a bank account, however they have a mobile wallet account backed by an escrow in a bank account.
Traditional merchant accounts can be modified to support payment processes through mobile wallets and alternative payment methods.
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Innovation / Aggregation Layer
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Ecommerce aggregators in more developed markets for example Visa, MasterCard, Stripe, PayPal, DataCash, PayFast, Adyen and numerous others are innovating and facilitating other businesses to innovate and have tremendous scale.
However, all these players have almost no operations or transactions in Africa and other emerging markets because their businesses models and architecture is not well suited – it assumes both consumer and merchant have a bank account.
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Innovation /. Aggregation is critical for success of electronic commerce and needs collaboration between banks, mobile money / wallet providers and their vendors. Aggregation / integration companies like www.iwiafrica.com provide innovators with the tools and capabilities (usually through API’s) to build value for their customers easily and quickly.
Electronic commerce in Africa and other emerging markets will not scale without a well-developed innovation layer.
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Channel / Access Layer
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Access to electronic commerce services is mainly via phones, PCs and Point of sales (POS).
This is not a problem in Africa anymore, phone penetration is high (65% in 2013 expected to grow to 91% by 2020) and smart phone growth is in double digits in many countries (72 million smart phones in 2013 expected to grow to 525 million by 2020, a CAGR of 33.7%).
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Africa and other emerging markets are mobile first so the tools given to innovators needs to help them target mobile devices from dumb phones which are still a majority to first growing smart phone market.
Costs of access for dumb phones via SMS and USSD should be lowered further
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To drive innovations in digital commerce that reach the majority market in emerging markets, the innovation layer – just like roads, bridges, power need to be developed. The best solution is the one that will piece together all the major actors in the stack and optimize for African and the Emerging market environment.